Return=Earning Growth (ΔE) +Dividend Yield + Chang in P/E (ΔP/E)
Sunday, October 21st, 2007Conventional wisdom often ignores the fundamental factors that drive the market. In this model, we will attempt to analyze the market based on simply three variables:
earning growth
dividend yield
change in the price-earnings (P/E) ratio
Our belief is that as mysterious as the stock market seems, its returns may be determined by just two simple returns; fundamental return and speculative return.
Add them together and you have the stock market total return.
Investment Return = Fundamental Return + Speculative Return - (1)
The first term, Fundamental Return, is determined by adding Earning Growth and Dividend Yield.




investment property