Tuesday, December 18, 2007

US Housing Market

Author: nicker
Category: Investors Insights

I agree with Mr. Xie in that inflation is a very power factor to push up housing price. Housing or land asset itself doesn’t create value other than acting as a powerful manifestation for the effect of inflation over the long term. In reality, housing or land is a long-term mirror for inflation. For the short term, they don’t necessarily act in synchronization. Whatever Fed Reserve is doing today, if they can stir up long term inflation, no matter how bad it would be for everything else, it’s going to be very good for real property holders at the expense of everybody else. By reducing the rate, it will contribute to stir up long-term inflation. The other half is being contributed by a natural reduction of price currently going on regardless how painful that’s going to be. Simply speaking, we are in the process of reducing the ratio from 170% to 100%, Half of that reduction is from reducing the interest rate, another half is from price reduction directly. However, Fed’s rate reduction is not going to turn around the housing market immediately. Eventually, it’s going to contribute to inflation, setting the stage for a new cycle, the lagging effect will be powerful.

1 Comments so far

1.

ManageRentalProperty
December 19th, 2007 at 12:03 pm

Not sure about the percentages, but a valid point. Real estate, like many other assets, has been dependent upon inflation.

What we have seen in the current market is really a “rubber band” type effect. As interest rates retreated, the price of real estate stretched. As rates began to go up, the “rubber band” of real estate prices snapped back.

We are probably somewhere near the middle now. As inflation forges ahead, in general looking at the overall picture, prices will eventually more up as inflation starts to “stretch” prices again.

Steven Boorstein
Landlord Business Insider

Leave a Comment

Please note: Comment moderation is enabled and may delay your comment. There is no need to resubmit your comment.

US Housing Market

Author: nicker
Category: Investors Insights

I agree with Mr. Xie in that inflation is a very power factor to push up housing price. Housing or land asset itself doesn’t create value other than acting as a powerful manifestation for the effect of inflation over the long term. In reality, housing or land is a long-term mirror for inflation. For the short term, they don’t necessarily act in synchronization. Whatever Fed Reserve is doing today, if they can stir up long term inflation, no matter how bad it would be for everything else, it’s going to be very good for real property holders at the expense of everybody else. By reducing the rate, it will contribute to stir up long-term inflation. The other half is being contributed by a natural reduction of price currently going on regardless how painful that’s going to be. Simply speaking, we are in the process of reducing the ratio from 170% to 100%, Half of that reduction is from reducing the interest rate, another half is from price reduction directly. However, Fed’s rate reduction is not going to turn around the housing market immediately. Eventually, it’s going to contribute to inflation, setting the stage for a new cycle, the lagging effect will be powerful.

1 Comments so far

1.

ManageRentalProperty
December 19th, 2007 at 12:03 pm

Not sure about the percentages, but a valid point. Real estate, like many other assets, has been dependent upon inflation.

What we have seen in the current market is really a “rubber band” type effect. As interest rates retreated, the price of real estate stretched. As rates began to go up, the “rubber band” of real estate prices snapped back.

We are probably somewhere near the middle now. As inflation forges ahead, in general looking at the overall picture, prices will eventually more up as inflation starts to “stretch” prices again.

Steven Boorstein
Landlord Business Insider

Leave a Comment

Please note: Comment moderation is enabled and may delay your comment. There is no need to resubmit your comment.

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